Log in

Arizona Election 2024

Gallego, Lake battle could determine control of U.S. Senate

Posted 9/12/24

WASHINGTON – Democrats can’t keep control of the U.S. Senate unless Arizona Congressman Ruben Gallego defeats Republican hopeful Kari Lake.

That’s the assessment of the …

You must be a member to read this story.

Join our family of readers for as little as $5 per month and support local, unbiased journalism.


Already have an account? Log in to continue.

Current print subscribers can create a free account by clicking here

Otherwise, follow the link below to join.

To Our Valued Readers –

Visitors to our website will be limited to five stories per month unless they opt to subscribe. The five stories do not include our exclusive content written by our journalists.

For $6.99, less than 20 cents a day, digital subscribers will receive unlimited access to YourValley.net, including exclusive content from our newsroom and access to our Daily Independent e-edition.

Our commitment to balanced, fair reporting and local coverage provides insight and perspective not found anywhere else.

Your financial commitment will help to preserve the kind of honest journalism produced by our reporters and editors. We trust you agree that independent journalism is an essential component of our democracy. Please click here to subscribe.

Sincerely,
Charlene Bisson, Publisher, Independent Newsmedia

Please log in to continue

Log in
I am anchor
Arizona Election 2024

Gallego, Lake battle could determine control of U.S. Senate

Posted

WASHINGTON – Democrats can’t keep control of the U.S. Senate unless Arizona Congressman Ruben Gallego defeats Republican hopeful Kari Lake.

That’s the assessment of the party’s chief Senate strategist, Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich.

“We don’t hold the majority if we lose Arizona,” he told Cronkite News during a roundtable with a small group of regional reporters at the offices of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which he chairs. “It’s essential.”

Lake, a former Phoenix TV news anchor who narrowly lost the gubernatorial race in 2022, is closely allied with former President Donald Trump.

She’s vying with Gallego, elected five times to the U.S. House, for the seat held by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who is not seeking a second term.

Sinema, the first female senator from Arizona, won as a Democrat in 2018 but dropped her affiliation and became an independent in 2022.

Democrats control the Senate by the barest of margins, 51-49, with Sinema and two other independents working with them to forge a majority.

Republicans hold 23 of the 34 seats on the ballot in November, and analysts see no trouble in any of those states for the GOP. Democrats are on defense. Seats they hold in Montana and Ohio are rated as toss-ups, which leaves no margin for error in Arizona.

At the National Republican Senatorial Committee, spokesperson Tate Mitchell said Arizona is also a priority for the GOP.

“Arizona remains one of the top pick-up opportunities for Republicans this cycle,” he said.

A Fox News poll released Aug. 28 gave Gallego a 15-point advantage over Lake, though other recent polls have shown a tight contest. A CNN poll released Sept. 4 showed Gallego’s lead at just 3 percentage points, which is within the margin of error.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the race “lean Democrat,” one step up from toss-up.

Money has poured into the race on both sides.

According to campaign finance watchdog OpenSecrets, at least $62 million had been spent by the candidates or outside groups through the end of June. Gallego led Lake 3-1 in spending at that point.

About $258 million was spent in Arizona’s last Senate race, when Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly defeated GOP nominee Blake Masters. That was the third costliest U.S. Senate battle of 2022, according to OpenSecrets.

In the final stretch, Peters said the DSCC will invest in more “on-the-ground” resources such as hiring canvassers to go door-to-door and boost voter engagement.

Republicans will also ramp up their efforts in Arizona in the final eight weeks of the campaign, said the NRSC’s Tate.