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2026: Boom or bust? Depends on which side of the aisle you’re on

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Chris Talgo: Get ready, 2026 is going to be great

OPINION — With only a few days left in 2025, Americans should treasure their time with family and friends during the too-busy and too-short holiday season and be excited for what’s in store for next year. 

Although my predictions for 2026 come with an asterisk because it is impossible to forecast the future accurately, and black swan events can throw a wrench into everything, here are a few predictions for the year ahead.

Regarding the affordability crisis, the political buzz term of 2025, my inner crystal ball tells me that things should improve for hard-working Americans. For starters, in 2026, lower- and middle-class Americans, those most affected by the chronic cost-of-living increase over the past few years, will receive welcome news when they file their federal taxes and receive a substantial refund.

The Trump administration’s focus on bringing manufacturing jobs back to America should begin to bear fruit as companies break ground on new factories, and the administration’s pro-domestic energy production posture, also known as “drill, baby, drill,” creates high-paying jobs and substantially reduces energy costs.

Overall, the administration’s efforts to refute climate alarmism; end the green energy scam; eliminate unnecessary and onerous regulations; reduce fraud, waste and corruption; and return sovereignty to the states and the people will create a more dynamic, robust and innovation-friendly environment in 2026. As such, I think U.S. GDP growth could exceed 4% next year.

Speaking of the laboratories of democracy, I think 2026 will be a banner year for states with no income tax — such as Florida, Tennessee and Texas — and will continue to thrive and remain a magnet for disaffected people in high-tax states such as New York and California. 

I think the great migration from unaffordable blue states to red states will accelerate the following year.

Globally, I think 2026 will be a year of peace, not war. With American military might back in place, I believe bad actors will refrain from engaging in conflicts they know they cannot win. I think Taiwan and Israel will be safe from attack, and that a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia will be signed and sealed.

On the political front, I am going out on a limb. In the 2026 midterm elections, I forecast that the GOP will gain a few seats in the House and Senate. I say this because I foresee the Democratic Party lurching too far to the left during the primary season and nominating a bunch of democratic socialists who will alienate independents and moderates. Democratic socialism might be seductive in Seattle and New York City, but I doubt it will resonate in so-called flyover states.

In the world of education, I think 2026 will be a big year for school choice. In 2025, parental demand for the right to choose what type of school their children attend reached a fever pitch. This year, several states passed pro-parent school choice laws; I predict this trend will continue next year. I also suspect that the shuttering of the Department of Education will benefit, not harm, school administrators, teachers and students.

Now, for a little bit of lighter fare.

In the sports arena, I bet, not actually, that the Chicago Bears will win the Super Bowl, the Chicago Cubs will win the World Series, and the Indiana Hoosiers will emerge victorious in the College Football Playoff.

In the entertainment realm, I think/hope that “Landman” sweeps the Hollywood awards season, especially after being snubbed by the Emmys this year. Without a doubt, the Oscar for best picture belongs to Netflix’s “A House of Dynamite.” If you have not seen this movie, do yourself a favor and watch it.

In terms of cultural fads, I predict patriotism will peak in 2026 as Americans gather and celebrate the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence. I think July 4, 2026, will be a monumental event that will foster a renewed sense of national pride and passion. For at least a few days, I believe partisan differences will be put aside as Americans gaze at the most magnificent fireworks displays in world history.

Again, these are just predictions, albeit rosy ones in many cases. However, even if only a few of these forecasts come true, 2026 will be great. When it comes to predicting the future, I prefer to be an optimist because it instills hope, spurs motivation and inspiration, and fosters determination and drive, all of which are chief American characteristics that are somewhat lacking in the present.

Chris Talgo is the editorial director at The Heartland Institute. He wrote this for InsideSources.com. Please submit comments at yourvalley.net/letters or email them to AzOpinions@iniusa.org. We are committed to publishing a wide variety of reader opinions, as long as they meet our Civility Guidelines.

J.B. Branch: Meet the AI agents of 2026 — ambitious, overhyped and still in training

OPINION — If 2025 was the year artificial intelligence became unavoidable, 2026 will be the year everyone starts talking seriously about AI agents.

An AI agent is a software system designed to plan and execute tasks autonomously, make decisions and interact with digital tools or environments with minimal human oversight in pursuit of a defined goal. When people fear that AI will take over jobs, they are usually worried about white-collar automation. The more immediate question is not what AI agents might do someday; it is who is pushing them now, and to what end.

Tech companies are aggressively marketing AI agents as autonomous digital workers that can plan tasks, execute goals and manage workflows with minimal human input. Corporate leaders echo these claims, framing agents as productivity multipliers and cost-saving measures. In many cases, this enthusiasm reflects less a genuine breakthrough in capability than a familiar pattern: vendors racing to define the next category of enterprise software before regulators, workers or consumers have time to assess the risks.

The reality will be far less dramatic.

In 2026, AI agents will be everywhere in corporate decks and keynote speeches, but far less impressive in practice. Despite the hype, these systems remain unreliable, brittle and heavily dependent on human supervision. They are not autonomous employees. They are closer to junior staffers who work quickly, confidently and often incorrectly, requiring constant review and cleanup. The problem is that Big Tech is pushing to deploy these agents at scale, often without adequate training, safeguards or clear human accountability.

That gap between promise and performance is already becoming visible. Studies and industry surveys consistently show that while AI tools are being rapidly deployed across private companies, few organizations are using them well. Instead of boosting productivity, many firms report new inefficiencies: duplicated work, increased oversight burdens, and time spent correcting AI-generated errors. In practice, AI systems often function less as productivity tools and more as justifications for cutting costs, shifting risk and lowering standards.

AI agents intensify this problem. Unlike chatbots that respond to discrete prompts, agents are designed to take initiative. They chain actions together and make decisions without constant human input. That autonomy is precisely what makes them appealing and risky. When agents hallucinate facts, misunderstand goals or act on flawed assumptions, the errors cascade. For consumers, this can mean misinformation, deceptive interactions, steering toward pricier products or decisions made without meaningful recourse.

This is why trust remains the central barrier to agent adoption. AI agents cannot be trusted to operate independently in high-stakes environments such as finance, healthcare, legal services or government operations. They struggle with judgment, context and prioritization, and they lack the institutional awareness humans rely on to navigate ambiguity. Yet, companies are increasingly positioning agents as authoritative interfaces, blurring the line between assistance and influence in ways consumers may not recognize.

The result is a paradox. Companies invest in AI agents to reduce workload, but end up creating new layers of review and oversight. Employees must check outputs line by line. Managers must audit decisions after the fact. Compliance teams must anticipate errors that are harder to trace because responsibility is split between humans and machines. When something goes wrong, accountability becomes murky — and that ambiguity often benefits the companies deploying the systems, while consumers bear the risk and shoulder the harm.

None of this means AI agents are useless. Like junior employees, they can be valuable when used appropriately. They excel at narrow, well-defined tasks. They can draft, summarize, organize and assist at scale. However, they are not ready to be trusted with end-to-end responsibility. Treating them as autonomous workers rather than tools is a category error that 2026 will make increasingly obvious.

The danger is not that AI agents will take over too much work. It is that organizations will expect them to do more than they can responsibly handle, while exploiting information gaps between companies and consumers. When systems fail quietly, produce plausible nonsense, or subtly steer users toward outcomes that benefit corporations, the cost is not just wasted time. It is eroded trust, degraded decision-making, and growing skepticism among workers and consumers.

By the end of 2026, the conversation around AI agents will begin to mature. The hype will cool. Executives will talk less about autonomy and more about supervision and “co-piloting.” The most successful organizations will be those that treat AI agents not as replacements, but as trainees, useful only within clear boundaries and strong accountability structures.

 AI agents may one day live up to their promise. But in 2026, they will still be learning the job. Like any junior staffer, they will need close guidance, careful oversight and realistic expectations before being trusted with real responsibility. Most important, if AI agents are deployed at scale, they must be governed as systems that shape rights, access and economic power — not treated as experiments run on the public. Regulators should require meaningful testing, clear lines of accountability, and enforceable limits on how agents interact with consumers.

The question for 2026 is not whether AI agents will be regulated, but whether oversight will arrive before harm becomes normalized.

J.B. Branch is the Big Tech accountability advocate for Public Citizen’s Congress Watch division. He wrote this for InsideSources.com. Please submit comments at yourvalley.net/letters or email them to AzOpinions@iniusa.org. We are committed to publishing a wide variety of reader opinions, as long as they meet our Civility Guidelines.

2026, predictions, affordability, jobs, AI

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